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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Picks, Player Props & Best Odds (Aug 19)


Nimmo Mets

Aug 18, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets left fielder Brandon Nimmo (9) hits a solo home run during the sixth inning against the Miami Marlins at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

  • The New York Mets host the Baltimore Orioles Monday night for the first game in a 3-game series. Mets vs. Orioles is slated to begin at 7:10 p.m. ET on MLB Network.
  • The Orioles will turn to pitcher Trevor Rogers while the Mets are expected to throw lefty David Peterson.
  • See the best picks, odds and a prediction for Monday’s game below.

The New York Mets host the top squad in the American League for the first in a 3-game series on Monday night. First pitch for the this upper echelon battle is slated for 7:10 p.m. on MLB Network. The Mets are expected to start lefty pitcher David Peterson (7-1) while the Orioles will turn to the recently acquired Trevor Rogers (2-11).

New York standout Brandon Nimmo is considered day-to-day after exiting the Mets’ recent matchup against the Marlins.

Keep scrolling for a further look at the latest odds, best player prop bets and a prediction for Mets vs. Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Prediction

  • BAL vs. NYM pick: Mets -140

Trevor Rogers starting this series is a problem for the Orioles in my opinion. He’s already earned a pair of losses with New York since leaving Miami and his 2-11 record doesn’t exactly inspire confidence for one of the best teams in baseball. The Orioles are going to get the Mets’ best tonight – especially at Citi Field – and I’m just not sure I see Rogers’ efficacy on the mound changing for tonight’s battle.

Not to mention, David Peterson is playing great ball right now for New York. He’s 7-1 on the season and has recorded 2 wins in his last 2 starts. Peterson hasn’t really had a “disaster” outing yet this season – his worst performance came against Atlanta when he allowed 4 hits and 4 earned runs in 5 innings. And to be honest, that’s all Peterson should need to avoid to earn another W tonight.

New York 5, Baltimore 4

Orioles vs. Mets Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-178) +118 O 8.5 (-125)
New York Mets -1.5 (+150) -140 U 8.5 (+105)

Odds above via Caesars Sportsbook. Check out our Caesars Promo Code for a look at one of the best welcome offers in the business. 

The New York Mets are considered slight home favorites for tonight’s matchup in Queens, owning  a -1.5 runline advantage (+150). The Orioles, on the other hand, are -178 to win or keep the game within a run.

Betting on New York straight up comes with -140 odds, while the Orioles sit at +118 to win outright.

The Over/under for this matchup has been set at 8.5 per Caesars, with the over heavily favored. And it’s not hard to see why. The Mets and Orioles are 2 of the better batting teams in Major League Baseball and neither squad is throwing their best pitcher.

Orioles vs. Mets Best Value Player Props (Aug. 19)

Player Props (Orioles vs. Mets) Odds
David Peterson O 4.5 Ks -160
Trevor Rogers U 3.5 Ks +125
J.D. Martinez O 1.5 Total Bases +115

All odds above via DraftKings. Check out our latest DraftKings Sportsbook promo for more information on a great welcome offer. 

Peterson has been over this total in 2 of his last 5 and 6 of his last 10. I think he’s in for a big game tonight at Citi Field

I can’t believe this line for Rogers is sitting at +125 on DraftKings right now. Rogers has been under this total in 4 straight games dating back to his time at Miami, and he’s facing a Mets team that doesn’t strike out at an exorbitant rate.

Martinez has the best batting average (5+ at-bats) of any Mets player at .429. He’s ripped a pair of doubles and a single in 7 at-bats against Rogers throughout his career, and Martinez earned a hit against him earlier this season when Rogers was in Miami. I love this pick at +115.

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