HomeSports BettingTexans at Jets TNF Picks, Prediction for Week 9

Texans at Jets TNF Picks, Prediction for Week 9


NFL Game Odds: Texans at Jets TNF | Remember when Aaron Rodgers was the last piece to the puzzle solution that would propel the New York Jets back to contender status for the first time since their brief heyday in the Mark Sanchez days?

Well, that buzz seems to have faded. The Jets lost Rodgers for the whole season after his torn Achilles in Week 1 last year.

He returned this year and led his team to a 2-1 start…but now they’re 2-6 after losing to New England last week.

If Houston beats the Jets on Thursday, that would leave the Jets at 2-7. Would the Jets consider trading Aaron Rodgers, particularly if a starting QB for a contender suffers an injury?

There are more red flags than ever associated with the former Green Bay star.

His mobility is down. His overall effectiveness seems to be down. He either stood by or manipulated things as head coach Robert Saleh was shown the gate.

So there are a lot of reasons for teams to steer clear of Rodgers, but desperate general managers have shown that they will do odd things to help their teams.

The Jets prepare to host the Houston Texans on Thursday night, and somehow the Texans are only favored by a single point.

Let’s break down this sports betting matchup as Week 9 of the NFL regular season gets underway.

 

NFL Game Odds: Texans at Jets TNF in Week 9 | NFL 2024/25 Season

When: Thursday, October 31, 2024, 8:15 pm ET

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

TV: Prime Video

Radio: Westwood One

Live Stream: Prime Video

Opening NFL Game Odds Subject to Change:
Houston -2 / O/U 42

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Houston Texans TNF Line +104

Divisional rivalry games are almost always tough ones in the NFL, so when the Indianapolis Colts came south last week to take on Houston, the Texans had their work cut out for them to get the sweep. Joe Mixon proved to be more than tough enough, getting a 14-yard touchdown run where he juked one would-be tackler and carried a defensive back into the end zone with him.

On the day, Mixon picked up 102 yards on the ground, making him the first player in league history to run for at least 100 yards and score a touchdown in four of his first five contests with a team.

The exception came in Week 2, when he missed almost the whole second half with an ankle injury that sidelined him through Week 5. C.J. Stroud rebounded from a Week 7 nightmare when he threw for just 86 yards in a loss to Green Bay, picking up 285 yards through the air and throwing a touchdown pass to Tank Dell.

The Defense

The Texans’ defense picked off Anthony Richardson once and made his life miserable in the pocket all day long. Even so, it looked like the Colts had gone back ahead when defensive end Dayo Odeyingbo scooped up a Mixon fumble and took it 84 yards to the house. However, replay found him down by contact, and the Colts couldn’t move the ball.

The Texans sacked Richardson on third down to force a punt, and then when the Colts got the ball back at the end of regulation, they sacked Richardson yet again, forcing a fumble on the game’s last play. That sort of toughness will need to follow them to New York on a short week.

SU & ATS Picks

TThe Jets have a 2-6 record straight up and against the spread this season, going 2-3 ATS as favorites. Houston is 1-0 ATS as underdogs of a point or more, despite their 3-5 overall ATS record. Interim Jets coach Jeff Ulbrich criticized the team’s performance after a loss to New England, highlighting Aaron Rodgers’ excellence.

The Jets offense took the lead in the final minutes, but missed kicks led to a Patriots win. Ulbrich plans to hold a kicking competition with free agents. There is unrest in New York, a bad sign for success.

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New York Jets TNF Line -127

The Patriots were called out for being “soft” in their loss to Jacksonville last week, so we shouldn’t have been surprised when they came out physical in their game with the Jets. Even when Drake Maye had to enter the concussion protocol, Jacoby Brissett led two key touchdown drives in the second half to secure the 25-22 win over the Jets.

Aaron Rodgers had decent numbers – going 17 of 28 for 233 yards and two touchdowns. He found Garrett Wilson five times for 113 yards. Braelon Allen ran for a touchdown to give the Jets the lead with three minutes left in regulation, and Breece Hall ran the ball 16 times for 80 yards.

The Defense

Kicker Greg Zuerlein struggled, pulling a 44-yard field goal try to the left when the Jets were down by a point and missing an extra point badly. On defense, Haason Reddick, normally an elite edge rusher, made his Gotham debut. He played primarily on third down, but he didn’t post a single tackle, or even an assist.

Now the Jets have a losing streak that has reached five games, dating back to September 19. If you like the Jets on Thursday, you’re wagering more on the basis of the difficulties of traveling for a Thursday game, given the recovery that NFL action requires of the body.

SU & ATS Picks

The Jets have a strong record against the Texans, going 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games. Houston has struggled against AFC East teams, going 2-6 straight up in their last eight matchups. The under has hit in six of the Texans’ last seven games, giving the Jets a chance to win with lower scoring.

Even with his recent struggled, Aaron Rodgers already has one Hail Mary touchdown pass this season and still is the league’s career leader. If you like the Jets here, you see them taking advantage of Houston’s jet lag and then keeping the game slow enough to stop the Texans from taking charge.

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Texans at Jets TNF Final Score and Prediction in Week 9

Houston Injuries

Texans have WR Stefon Diggs listed as questionable with Nico Collins. Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz are still available. Other questionables include RB Dameon Pierce, S Jimmie Ward, C Jarrett Patterson, and LB Azeez Al-Shaair.

New York Injuries

For the Jets, edge rusher Haason Reddick is listed as questionable. After a disappointing Week 8, it would be sad if he had to sit out Week 9. Defensive end Will McDonald IV, center Jake Hanson, offensive tackle Morgan Moses, and linebacker Chazz Surratt are also on the questionable list.

While the Jets have ended up on the wrong end of some close games this season, execution is key in this league. They are 13th in the league in Net Yards Per Play at +0.4, 33% better than the unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs (+0.3). They did have a late lead against the Patriots.

However, if Jacoby Brissett can lead two long touchdown drives against your defense in the second half with the talent that the Patriots have right now, you’re going to struggle mightily against Houston.

I predict a final score of Houston 20, New York 12.

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