May 16, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (5) dribbles against the Denver Nuggets forward Michael Porter Jr. (1) in the third quarter during game six of the second round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
- The Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves in the deciding Game 7 on Sunday night
- The defending NBA champions are five-point home favorites over the T-Wolves
- Below, see the Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets odds, predictions, and player props for May 19, 2024
A thrilling series between the Minnesota Timberwolves (63-29, 30-16 away, 47-43-2 ATS) and Denver Nuggets (64-29, 37-10 home, 42-50-1 ATS) comes to a close on Sunday night at Ball Arena in Denver (7:10 pm CT/8:10 pm ET) as the Nuggets host the T-Wolves in the deciding Game 7.
The reigning NBA-champion Nuggets are listed as -198 moneyline favorites to advance and 5.5-point favorites against the spread.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Game 7 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +5 (-110) | +164 | O 198 (-110) |
| Denver Nuggets | -5 (-110) | -198 | U 198 (-110) |
The Timberwolves come back as +164 underdogs to win while the game total is sitting at just 198. Every other game in the series has had a total of 205 or higher. All three Denver wins have gone over while all three Minnesota victories have stayed under the total.
Odds as of May 19. Lock in this Fanatics Sportsbook promo code to bet on Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7 on Sunday night
The winner will advance in the NBA playoff bracket to face the Dallas Mavericks in the Western Conference final. Dallas ousted top-seeded OKC in six games thanks to a heart-pounding 117-116 win on Saturday night.
Denver Anemic in Potential Series-Clinching Game 6
After winning three straight from Game 3 to Game 5, many were expecting the champion Nuggets to end the series in hostile territory in Game 6, but the Timberwolves extended the series to the brink with an absolutely dominant performance on their home court. The Nuggets scored just 40 points in the first half and their offensive performance was even worse in the second during a 115-70 blowout loss.
Nikola Jokic had 22 points on 9-of-19 shooting but no one else on the Nuggets had more than 12 points and Denver shot a horrendous 30.2% from the floor.
For the T-Wolves, Anthony Edwards led the way with 27 points on 8-of-17 shooting in the must-win Game 6. Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns were monsters on the glass, with 14 and 13 rebounds, respectively, as Minnesota finished +19 on the boards.
Minnesota vs Denver Injury Reports for Game 7
The biggest name on the injury reports is Denver’s Jamal Murray, who is listed as questionable due to a nagging calf strain. Murray has been very up-and-down in the series. In Denver’s three wins, the two guard has averaged 19.7 PPG on 50% shooting from the field. In Minnesota’s trio of victories, he’s averaging just 11.7 PPG on 26% shooting from the field.
On the Minnesota side, veteran point guard Mike Conley is questionable with an Achilles injury. Conley sat out Game 5 but returned for Game 6, recording 13 points, five assists, and four rebounds in 31 minutes.
MIN vs DEN Game 7 Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon (DEN) | 14.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) | 4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -155) | 0.5 (Ov -192 | Un +160) |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 28.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | 2.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) | 3.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | OFF | 0.5 (Ov -230 | Un +190) |
| Jamal Murray (DEN) | 19.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 7.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -166) | 1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +150) |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) | 9.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | 2.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) | 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | 1.5 (Ov -122 | Un +102) |
| Michael Porter Jr (MIN) | 13.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | OFF | 5.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -175) |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 8.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +154 | Un -162) |
| Nikola Jokic (DEN) | 29.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 12.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 8.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 1.5 (Ov +136 | Un -155) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 11.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | OFF | OFF |
NBA player props as of May 19 at DraftKings.
Jokic has the highest point total for Game 7 at 29.5, followed by Edwards at 28.5. No other player is over the 20-point plateau in what is expected to be a low-scoring defensive slugfest.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game 7 Predictions
Both teams in this series have been dreadfully inconsistent. The T-Wolves looked like they were going to run away with the series after taking the first two games in Denver, but credit Nuggets coach Mike Malone for making the necessary adjustments on offense to counter Minnesota’s league-best defending. The Nuggets turned the tide in the series by really picking up their pace and not allowing the Timberwolves to get into their half-court set as readily.
While the offense obviously runs through Jokic, it needs a healthy and effective Murray to really function at its peak. Murray had one of his worst games of the season in Game 6 (10 points on 4-of-18 shooting) and I have little confidence his body is going to be ready for Game 7.
Five points is a big number against a defense as good as Minnesota’s. Denver’s championship pedigree may win out, but I love the T-Wolves and the points against the spread.
MIN vs DEN Game 7 picks:
- Timberwolves +5 (-110)
- Murray under 19.5 points (-110)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.