May 1, 2024; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) celebrates after he scores a goal on a power play against the Vegas Golden Knights during the second period in game five of the first round of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
- The Dallas Stars are slight road favorites against the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 6
- We’ve made our Stars vs Golden Knights prediction, plus identified player props to bet
- Read below for Stars vs Golden Knights Game 6 odds, predictions and injury report
The Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights are set to face off in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series on Friday, May 3, 2024, at 10:00 PM ET. The game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and will be televised on TNT.
The Stars currently lead the series 3-2 and have the opportunity to eliminate the defending Stanley Cup champions on the road. The opening odds for this matchup have the Golden Knights as slight favorites, with the moneyline set at Vegas -110 and Dallas -103.
We’ve made our Dallas vs Vegas prediction, plus identified NHL player props to target for this Friday night clash.
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Knights Prediction
The Stars have shown remarkable resilience in this series, bouncing back from a 2-0 deficit to win three consecutive games. Dallas has been led by their young stars, with forwards Wyatt Johnston, Ty Dellandrea, and Jason Robertson scoring the game-winning goals in the last three contests.
Goaltender Jake Oettinger has been outstanding, particularly in the third period and overtime, where he has stopped all 55 shots faced in the series. Oettinger finding his game is a key reason to consider backing Dallas in the NHL odds.
PhenomenOtter saved the game 👏 pic.twitter.com/FD7eMwQUwU
— z – Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) May 2, 2024
On the other hand, the Golden Knights have struggled to generate high-danger scoring chances, ranking second-to-last among playoff teams in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60). It’s hard to see these struggles, as Dallas boasts one of the league’s top defenses.
Vegas is expected to turn back to goaltender Logan Thompson for Game 6, but he has allowed three goals in each of his past two starts against the Stars, losing both games.
Given the Stars’ momentum, strong defensive play, and the exceptional performance of Jake Oettinger, we predict that Dallas will close out the series with a win in Game 6.
Best Bet:
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Knights Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Stars | -1.5 (+220) | -115 | Over 5.5 (-115) |
Golden Knights | +1.5 (-275) | -105 | Under 5.5 (-120) |
The odds for this game suggest a tight contest, with the Stars being slight favorites at -115 on the moneyline, while the Knights are slight underdogs at -105. These odds imply a 52.4% probability of a Dallas win and a 49.3% probability of a Vegas win.
According to the NHL public betting trends, the moneyline handle for Game 6 is almost equally spread between the two teams. Dallas has the slight edge, getting 55% of ML money at -115. However, bettors are slamming the Vegas puckline, and VGK has shifted from -100 to -105 at sportsbooks such as FanDuel.
The close odds can be attributed to several factors, including Vegas’ home-ice advantage and their status as the defending Stanley Cup champions. However, the Stars’ recent performance and the fact that they have won three straight games in the series have likely prevented the odds from favoring the Golden Knights more heavily.
Odds as of May 3, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out the BetMGM bonus codes for the NHL Playoffs.
Stars vs Knights Player Props
In the Stars vs Golded Knights props market, Jack Eichel has the best odds of any player to find twine at +145. Below the table, find the two bets we’ve locked in for tonight’s game.
Player | Anytime Goalscorer | Shots on Goal (O/U) | Points (O/U) |
---|---|---|---|
Jack Eichel | +145 | 3.5 (-140o/+110u) | 0.5 (-210o/+160u) |
Wyatt Johnston | +165 | N/A | N/A |
Jason Robertson | +170 | 2.5 (-180o/+140u) | 0.5 (-180o/+140u) |
Jonathan Marchessault | +170 | 2.5 (-175o/+135u) | 0.5 (-130o/+100u) |
Roope Hintz | +215 | 2.5 (+140o/-180u) | 0.5 (-115o/-115u) |
Jamie Benn | +260 | 2.5 (+145o/-190u) | 0.5 (-110o/-120u) |
Joe Pavelski | +260 | 1.5 (-150o/+120u) | 0.5 (-110o/-120u) |
Mark Stone | +265 | 1.5 (-145o/+114u) | 0.5 (-125o/-105u) |
Tyler Seguin | +270 | 2.5 (+135o/-175u) | N/A |
Matt Duchene | +285 | 1.5 (-160o/+124u) | 0.5 (-105o/-125u) |
NHL player props as of May. 3, 2024 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jason Robertson Anytime Goalscorer:
Robertson has scored in three of the five games in this series, which is tied for the team lead. He also ranks second on the team in shots on goal and is the primary triggerman on the first power-play unit. Given his recent play and importance to the Stars’ offense, betting on Robertson to score at any point in the game is a solid player prop.
Jake Oettinger Over 27.5 Saves:
Oettinger has been the backbone of the Stars’ success in this series, particularly in the last three games, where he has posted a .937 save percentage and a 1.84 goals-against average. With the Golden Knights likely to push hard to extend the series, expect Oettinger to face a high volume of shots. Taking the over on his save total is a smart bet.
Stars vs Knights Injury Report
For the Stars, forwards Mason Marchment and Radek Faksa are both listed as questionable for Game 6 with undisclosed injuries. Their potential absences could impact Dallas’ depth and forward lines.
On the Golden Knights’ side, defenseman Nicolas Hague is questionable with a lower-body injury. If Hague is unable to play, it could affect Vegas’ defensive pairings and overall depth on the blue line.
While these injuries are worth monitoring, neither team has reported any significant new injuries that are expected to drastically change the outlook for Game 6.
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.