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Before the Big Game begins, let’s see the Best Super Bowl bet, but what about those old-school bets? The moneyline, the point spread and the point total? Let’s turn some attention their way as you consider how to finalize your wagering strategy for Super Bowl LIX.
Understanding Betting Against the Spread – Pros and Cons
For Sunday’s showdown, the point spread opened at Kansas City -1.5 but has tightened to a single point. So what does this mean? If you take the Chiefs to cover this spread, they have to win by two or more points. If they win by one point, it’s a “push” – all bets refunded. If the Eagles win outright, you lose the bet.
Betting against the spread balances uneven sports matchups, providing better odds. This approach enables support for strong favorites without the high moneyline risk of straight betting. In mismatched college football games, spreads may reach 30s or 40s, showing large programs’ dominance over smaller schools.
The Risk of an Underdog
Betting against the spread also cuts into your potential risk. If you like the underdog, even if they don’t win the game outright, they can still cover the spread, which means that if you bet on them, you can still rake in the profits.
There are some cons, of course. The price for more balance in the odds is additional difficulty. You don’t just have to figure out which team will win – you have to figure out whether the favorite will win by enough – or if the underdog can stay within a particular point range. This takes a more complex form of analysis.
The Margin Error
Betting against the spread minimizes risk but increases margin for error. If you expect one team to dominate, betting on them to win outright is straightforward. However, betting on them to win by a certain margin can be precarious. A late field goal can result in a “backdoor cover,” where the underdog sneaks within the spread just before the game ends.
Point spreads can change after release, as seen with the Chiefs-Eagles line shifting half a point. Significant adjustments occurred before Super Bowl XIII. The two-week gap lets teams rest and injured players recover. Tracking injury reports is essential, as “questionable” players often participate if possible in crucial games.
This game features a tight point spread, so check the various bookmakers. If you think the Chiefs are going to win, take advantage of the value you can get in that direction. If there is a house that offers a positive money line for Kansas City, take it. A Chiefs win generates more profit for you, unless they win by only one point, in which case you lose nothing.
The point spread in Super Bowl LV can be adjusted to shift the point spread. The Chiefs’ defensive line was inefficient due to injuries and inconsistency. Philadelphia’s DC Vic Fangio has an elite pass rush, making it a wise pick to bet on the Eagles to win by 7-12 points. If Philadelphia can gain an early lead, let their pass rush run wild, and use Saquon Barkley to control the clock and increase yardage, this could be a wise pick.
Best Super Bowl Bet: The Appeal of Moneyline Betting
Money lines have shifted for both teams as well, with both of them sitting at -110. That means that, no matter what team you choose, you have to bet $110 to win $100 and take home $210.
The benefit of this type of bet is its simplicity. You just pick the team you think will win. If you select the favorite, and it wins, the payout is low, but the risk is low. If you pick the underdog, and it wins, the payout is higher, taking advantage of line imbalances. You just need to choose the winning team.
When you’re dealing with a high point spread, then your money lines will reflect that. So if your team is favored to win by double digits, you might see a moneyline along the lines of -1500. That means you’d have to bet $1500 just to win $100 and take home $1600. With a lower point spread, though, the differential isn’t that wide.
In this matchup between Kansas City and Philadelphia, although the Chiefs are 1-point favorites, the money lines are even. The money line decision is a little simpler, but similar. If you choose against the line and the Chiefs win by one, you’ll only get a refund.
Take a look at the options available
- Kansas City (-1) over Philadelphia
- Philadelphia (+1) to cover against Kansas City
- Kansas City (-110) to beat Philadelphia
- Philadelphia (-110) to beat Kansas City
Super Bowl LIX’s popular bets include Philadelphia on the money line, per FOX Sports, despite the Chiefs being favored on the point spread. Many writers suggest that the Eagles possess a superior roster, but the game’s outcome will ultimately hinge on coaching and system effectiveness.
Best Super Bowl Bet: Point Total Bets in the Super Bowl – How to Predict Game Scoring and Set Strategy
This bet revolves around whether the total game score will exceed a specific number, currently set at 48.5, down from 49.5. Wager on “over” if you expect a combined score of 49 or more points, or “under” if you anticipate a lower total. Game winner is irrelevant.
The last Super Bowl match between the Chiefs and Bills was two years ago, with the Chiefs winning 38-35 and scoring 73 points. This time, the Chiefs and Bills combined for 61 points in the AFC Championship. The Chiefs had not played in a game that went over 48.5 points since Week 12. They have done just enough to win, relying on defense to prevent the opposition from mounting too much of a threat and doing enough on offense for the result. They have come from behind seven times during the regular season and again against Buffalo in the AFC Championship.
Eagles’ Last Games
Philadelphia have been a strong team, generating numerous points in various games, including the NFC Championship, divisional round game against the Rams, and Week 17 win over Dallas without Jalen Hurts. Their explosive scoring, including 60+ yard rushing touchdowns by Saquon Barkley in 2024, and their deep threats of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, have contributed to their success.
The game could be a defensive struggle or a track meet, with both teams having elite pass rushes and quarterbacks exploiting opposing blitzes for big gains. Both teams have quality ball security, can lead long drives, and score on big plays. The choice depends on whether they can evade each other’s defenses and score four touchdowns apiece, or if one team will get an early lead and then start the race. The “over” is more likely, as defense becomes less relevant in the second half with offensive units like these.
How the Super Bowl ring has evolved over the years 💍 pic.twitter.com/Ay7TzI9l7H
— NFL (@NFL) February 7, 2025
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Best Super Bowl Bet: Chiefs vs Eagles
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