Consistency is key when looking for betting trends, and not many teams consistently give up touchdowns to opposing wide receivers more than the Los Angeles Rams.
Targeting that weakness worked out for us last week, when we picked A.J. Brown for a touchdown against the Rams. So, of course we’re going back to the same well this week, though our options aren’t as reliable.
The Rams visit the Saints, who are void of receiving options as good as Brown. Luckily Marquez Valdes-Scantling has emerged as a scoring threat the last few weeks to give us reason for hope. His anytime touchdown prop is among my favorite for Week 13. All odds are via BetMGM.
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After Brown rewarded our confidence last week, how could we not come back to him against a team that’s allowed even more touchdowns than the Rams — or any team for that matter.
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The Bengals have allowed touchdowns to tight ends in three straight games, and Freiermuth is coming off a season-high in receiving yards. Maybe he can keep it rolling with a score in Cincy.
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Both Irving and Rachaad White (+120) scored for the Bucs last week while playing almost the same amount of snaps, so it’s tough to pick one over the other. But with a team-best five rushing touchdowns on the season, Irving seems most likely to get carries closer to the goal line.
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Pollard broke his five-game scoring drought last week against the Texans and he has a good chance to turn it into a scoring streak this week against a Commanders team that’s allowed 11 rushing touchdowns on the season.
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Geno Smith isn’t much of a runner, but quarterbacks find the end zone against the Jets more frequently than they do against any other team. Over New York’s last six games, five different quarterbacks have combined for seven rushing touchdowns.
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The Saints were off last week, but the last time we saw them, Valdes-Scantling was scoring his second and third touchdowns of a two-game span. He hasn’t seen a ton of targets, but it shouldn’t take much to take the top off a Rams defense that allows the second-most yards per attempt in the NFL.
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