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With each passing year, the Super Bowl becomes even more popular in terms of sports betting. According to the American Gaming Association, 23 million Americans wagered $4.3 billion on the game. That’s why you have to look at the Super Bowl 59 Betting Props.
At the time, both of those numbers set records. In 2023, 50 million wagered $16 billion on the world’s most watched sporting event.
Last year, those numbers leapt again, to 68 million people betting $23 billion on the game.
Why are these numbers increasing so quickly? More states are legalizing sports betting, which means more money is being reported by legitimate outlets.
However, more people are also drawn to wagering each year. Are you new to the world of sports betting, or are you a savvy bettor looking for Super Bowl tips?
Let’s take a closer look at the many props available to you as Super Bowl LIX, between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles, approaches.
NFL Odds: Rundown on the Super Bowl 59 Betting Props
What are the Super Bowl props?
What is a prop? Any opportunity for you to put down money on an outcome is considered a prop. The most common props, of course, are game lines.
These include money line, point spread and point total. As of this writing, the Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 1.5 points, so you would see that as KC -1.5 on wagering sites.
The point total is 49.5 right now. You would either place your money on the point total going over or under that number. You can absorb more risk by moving either of those in the directions that you choose.
If you think the Eagles will deliver a rout in this game, then you could find a line of Philadelphia -6.5 at a money line of +220, for example.
You can parlay multiple game lines (and other props) together and increase your odds.
If you think the Chiefs will win by at least a field goal, but the game will be more of a defensive struggle, then adjust the line to Kansas City -2.5 and take the under. Combine those into a parlay and you’ll get +525 odds right now.
Player props
You can get a lot of these props on most games in the major pro sports, but there are even more of them in games like this one. Most of your offensive contributors are available as “anytime touchdown,” “first touchdown” and “last touchdown” of the game. Do you think Jalen Hurts will score the first touchdown of the game on the Tush Push? Then you’ll want to pick him as “first touchdown” – or at least “anytime touchdown,” given the number of times he pounds the ball into the end zone on short-yardage situations.
It can get as granular as you want them to. Yardage. Rushes. Tackles. Field goals. Completions. Interceptions. Forced fumbles. Receptions. You can even find a prop that will allow you to go over/under on a set number for the jersey number of the first player to score a touchdown in the game. In the Super Bowl, things get even more specialized. Will both quarterbacks throw for at least 300 yards apiece? Will Saquon Barkley’s longest run go for more than 60 yards? Who will lead the game in pass receptions?
Coin Toss
We also have props that have nothing to do with the action in the game at all. For example, one of the most popular Super Bowl props involves the coin toss beforehand – literally, a toss-up. People who choose one side or the other just do this for fun. In 58 previous Super Bowls, “heads” has come up 28 times (including last year), while “tails” still has a slight lead with 30 wins.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift?
There are also props for pop culture fans. You can get action on that. Kendrick Lamar is the halftime performer, but the identity of celebrity guests is still a surprise. You can wager that Future will show up with him (+125). You can also wager that Swift (+750) will come down – after all, the two worked together on “Bad Blood.” You might even go for the big bucks and bet that Lamar’s rival, Drake, will come out on stage (+3500).
Halftime show
You can even get more granular with the halftime show. Will Lamar wear a hoodie for his first song (-128)? Or will he wear something else (-102)? How many songs will he perform? The over/under is 10.5. The last time the “over” on the song total hit, Lamar was on stage three years ago, but he was joined by Eminem, Snoop Dogg, Dr. Dre, and others in an ensemble.
National Anthem
Jon Batiste will perform the Star-Spangled Banner. The over/under on the length of his performance is 120.5 seconds. Country singer Reba McIntyre performed it last year and only needed 94 seconds, the fastest since 2007, when Billy Joel only needed 90 seconds. However, eight of the last 12 national anthem performances at the Super Bowl have gone over two minutes, or 120 seconds. Batiste is also an instrumentalist and could also include background singers, which could extend the song. The record for longest performances dates back to Super Bowl XLVII in 2013, when Alicia Keys took 2 minutes and 36 seconds (156 seconds) to finish the performance.
Super Bowl 59 Betting Props: Top game and winning picks
The most popular game props right now are the game line props. Did you see the Chiefs slow down the Buffalo Bills’ running game enough to get Josh Allen in enough third-and-long situations to keep that high-octane offense under 30 points? The Bills have James Cook and Allen who can both break off big runs. The Eagles have a similar duo in Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. If you think the Chiefs can slow that offense down enough as well, and if you think Patrick Mahomes can lead another miraculous scoring drive in the late moments of the game, then you think that the Chiefs can win. With that low line, I’m definitely taking Kansas City to win and cover.
What about the point total?
Both of these teams can pile on the points – and while they both have solid defenses, these two teams are generally better at getting stops when they need them than locking down quality opponents for an entire game. I see this final score turning out quite similarly to the AFC Championship, so I’m going to take the over.
First Drive of the Game
Some other game props include an analysis of the first drive of the game. Will the team who has the ball first score? Will they make it into opposing territory? Will they have a running play go for at least 20 yards on that drive? Will they turn the ball over? All of these are available. There are also point spreads, point totals, and money lines available for each quarter and half.
Frankly, a lot of these are more for fun than for the serious bettor, because things can happen in the ebb and flow of any game that will eventually revert to an expected outcome. Research and analysis help a lot when it comes to final scores and totals, but if a freak play early in the game, such as a quick pick-six or a blocked punt for a touchdown, can skew the outcomes of props at the quarter or even half level.
Jalen Hurts
With the player props, I’m definitely including Hurts in my touchdown props – and I might even have him as the “first touchdown,” but I’m also going to read more about his knee issues before I lock in the wager. As far as other running backs for the Eagles, Barkley seems like a natural, especially given the long running scores he breaks off, but in the red zone, you’re as likely as not to see Kenneth Gainwell get the ball closer to paydirt and score a touchdown, so while I like Barkley as an anytime touchdown, I’m not confident enough as far as timing of the game. If it’s a late score, Barkley might be watching from the bench.
AFC team props and winning picks
Can the Chiefs score on their first offensive possession (+100)? In their last nine games, their first drive has yielded points seven times. The Eagles allowed both the Rams and the Commanders to score on their opening drives in their playoff matchups.
Will Noah Gray stay UNDER 1.5 catches?
The money line here (-125) doesn’t offer a lot of value. He was getting a lot of targets earlier this season, when Travis Kelce started to show signs of age and Rashee Rice went down for the season. However, Hollywood Brown is back from injury, and Xavier Worthy is doing more with the offense each week. Over his last five games, he has been targeted a total of five times. He did catch each target, but in four of those games, he stayed under 1.5 games.
Will Xavier Worthy go OVER 40 receiving yards (-190)?
If you look back at the rookie seasons of Tyreek Hill and Rashee Rice, you saw the Chiefs building the productivity of first-year receivers significantly as the months ticked by. Since Week 11, Worthy has caught at least four balls and picked up at least 40 receiving yards in nine straight games. If you consider that the push-pass jet-sweep is technically a forward pass, then this could be considered a virtual lock.
NFC team props and winning picks
Can the Eagles achieve a straight-up win? With a money line of +105, it seems possible. They’re healthy now, having struggled without A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Hurts’ concussion affected their performance during Washington’s comeback, impacting their chances significantly.
The Eagles convert short-yardage situations at a historic pace thanks to the Tush Push play, play-action formations and the ability of Hurts and Barkley to advance. They almost beat Kansas City in Super Bowl LVII.
Can the Eagles score on their first offensive possession? They have scored on their first drive six of the last seven games, including four consecutive touchdowns. The Chiefs allowed points on their opponents’ first drive nine of 20 games.
DeVonta Smith’s over/under for catches is 4.5. He has caught exactly four passes in more games than any other total. When he exceeded 4.5, A.J. Brown was unavailable or Kenny Pickett was quarterback. With Hurts and Brown healthy, he surpassed 4.5 only 25% of the time. Therefore, betting the under seems prudent.
Dallas Goedert is likely to record at least one reception for 15 yards or more, with a strong track record in 2024, catching such passes in 10 of 12 games, including the last five. Kansas City ranks poorly against tight ends in yards after catch and depth of target, making this a relatively safe prop bet, despite limited value.
Super Bowl LIX Pregame is set to be a celebration in New Orleans. See you Feb. 9. 🎶 #SBLIX@JonBatiste @Tromboneshorty @Lauren_Daigle @ledisi @RocNation @NFLonFOX pic.twitter.com/mOVrHEhpMK
— NFL (@NFL) November 28, 2024
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