Friday represents the deadline for teams to tender contracts to players who are under club control. There are always a few notable names who are cut loose as their projected arbitration price tags begin to outpace production. The non-tender deadline can also serve as a catalyst for trades. A player’s current team might not want to meet their arbitration salary, but the price isn’t so outlandish that they can’t find someone else willing to take that on.
Cal Quantrill, Scott Barlow, Luis UrÃas and Kyle Wright all fell into this bucket at last year’s deadline. They’d each had some early-career success that built their arbitration prices, but each was either coming off a mediocre year or (in Wright’s case) facing a significant injury absence.
We’ll try to identify a few players who could land in the middle ground this week. These aren’t the arbitration-eligible players who are most likely to be traded at any point this offseason. Garrett Crochet, Ryan Helsley and Devin Williams all have a decent chance to move over the winter, but none of them is in danger of getting cut. Friday doesn’t serve as any kind of deadline to spur a trade for them. Their teams can tender them a contract and trade them weeks or months from now. Players traded this week are usually borderline non-tender candidates. If their teams don’t find a trade partner by Friday evening, they could decide to move on entirely. Salary projections are courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz. All of these players have five-plus years of service and are down to their final year of club control.
Mike Yastrzemski, Giants ($9.5MM projection)
All four of San Francisco’s arb-eligible players could arguably fit on this list. LaMonte Wade Jr., Tyler Rogers and Camilo Doval are themselves viable offseason trade candidates. Moving Yastrzemski could be the most urgent decision for president of baseball operations Buster Posey. With a $9.5MM projection, he’s the most expensive player in the team’s arbitration class and seems the likeliest to be non-tendered if they don’t arrange a trade in the next 48 hours.
Yastrzemski is a capable everyday right fielder. After two excellent offensive seasons to begin his career, he has settled in as an average hitter. The lefty-hitting outfielder carries a .225/.311/.431 batting line since the start of the ’21 season. This year’s .231/.302/.437 slash with 18 homers is on par with that production. Yastrzemski is a solid defensive corner outfielder but isn’t an option for more than emergency work in center field. A near-$10MM salary for his age-34 season is neither an albatross nor a bargain. Yastrzemski seemed to be a favorite of former front office head Farhan Zaidi. It’s not clear if Posey values him to the same extent, but the Giants are clearly going to reshuffle the lineup in some way this winter.
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