We are less than a week away from the 97th Academy Awards and just when it looked like the major award races were beginning to work themselves out, the SAG Awards threw one last curveball at the contenders.
The best ensemble win for Conclave as well as a best actor win for Timothée Chalamet in A Complete Unknown were two of the more surprising outcomes from the SAG Awards. And while Oscars voting has already wrapped up, it seems the oddsmakers aren’t ready to lock in their predictions on the four biggest awards just yet.
Here’s a quick look from BetMGM at where things stand before the 2025 Oscars are handed out on Sunday night.
Best Picture
via BetMGM
Conclave was 16-1 to win Best Picture on February 12. Then it won Best Film at the BAFTAs and scored a somewhat surprising Best Ensemble win at SAG. Now it’s +225 to win on Sunday, having overtaken The Brutalist and sitting behind only Anora.
Considering the Academy has expanded to feature more international voters, this could be a sign of a big night for the British film. Yet Anora still maintains favorite status at -200 with 83.5 percent of all money wagered on the Sean Baker film.
Best Director
via BetMGM
No real noticeable changes in the Best Director race as it remains a two-man showdown between Sean Baker (Anora) and Brady Corbet (The Brutalist). Nearly all of the money wagered at BetMGM is on Baker.
Best Actor
via BetMGM
Another race that has essentially come down to a final two contenders. Adrien Brody has long been considered the favorite for his role in The Brutalist but the SAG win for Chalamet may complicate things. Notably, the A Complete Unknown star’s odds have not changed much since before the BAFTAs.
Best Actress
via BetMGM
Mikey Madison has made a strong push following her breakthrough in Anora. She’s already claimed Best Actress at the BAFTAs, and her film cleaned up at the Producers Guild of America Awards as well as Directors Guild of America Awards. Still, it would be a shock if Demi Moore doesn’t win the Oscar after how everything has lined up for the star of The Substance this season.
The Rest…
Over at FanDuel Ontario, the odds for the down ballot races mostly portend some blowouts early on in the show.
Zoe Saladana is -1100 to win Best Supporting Actress, Kieran Culkin is -1800 to win Best Supporting Actor, Conclave is -900 for Best Adapted Screenplay, Anora is -270 for Best Original Screenplay, Wicked is -1500 for Best Costume and The Substance is -700 to win Best Makeup and Hairstyling.
There is a bit of intrigue in Best Animated Feature between The Wild Robot (-250) and Flow (+220). The same goes for Best International Feature Film between I’m Still Here (-160) and Emilia Perez (+125).
Film Editing is also shaping up to be a tight race between Conclave (-140) and Anora (+155).
Stay tuned this week as any more fluctuating odds may be a sign of chaos come Sunday night when the Oscars are awarded.
Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose. While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling. We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site. Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.
Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.